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The Mathematical Equivalent of "Consensus"

This morning I heard a clip of a Senator questioning John Bolton as to why he has not done more to build “consensus” in the U.N.  He seemed to think that Ambassador Bolton had not been doing a good job of representing the interest of the United States at the United Nations because he has frequently been in opposition to many of the other nations represented.  The Senator seemed to think that the most important grade on a report card is next to “Works and play well with others.”  I suspect it is the Senator who is doing a bad job of representing the interests of the United States.

Mathematics has a term that is a direct equivalent for “consensus” – Lowest Common Denominator.  The only way to get all of the countries in the U.N. to agree with what you propose is to eliminate everything important from your proposal – to appeal to the lowest common denominator.   This is not in the best interests of the United States.  Our Ambassador needs to persuade, not “build consensus”.  It is more important to make right than to make nice.  John Bolton understands this.  Apparently some Senators do not.

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Maslow for Nations

Jed Babbin, talking about a John Podhoretz article on the Bill Bennett show, posed an interesting question.  He asked if liberal democracies are too nice to win a war because they are so concerned about the accidental killing of noncombatants.  The issue is illustrated by a cartoon
showing a boxing referee giving a boxer labeled "USA" a long list of rules and then telling one labeled "Al Queda" that he can do anything he wants.  The self-imposed rules of a civilized society do get in the way of dealing with those who don't follow the same rules.  Will liberal democracies eventually find a way to win?  This is where Maslow comes in.
Abraham Maslow, and most other developmental psychologists, sees human development as happening in a hierarchy where the individual can move on to a higher level only when the requirements of all levels below it have been met.  Someone who is constantly physically hungry is unlikely to create a musical masterpiece.  The inherent drive to achieve these higher levels is what motivates the individual to overcome the challenges at the lower levels.  This may work with societies as well.
The existence of liberal democracies shows that people want to make real progress (not the kind people who call themselves "Progressives" want).  Progressing to a higher level is why liberal democracies are more concerned about noncombatant deaths than the Islamists who are stuck in the 14th century (A.D or B.C. doesn't matter as they were pretty much the same in either century).  But as long as the lower level  they represent exits, mankind will only be able to progress so far.   That these 14th century barbarians have most of the arsenal of the 20th century increases the pain, and hopefully the motivation to deal with them.  The liberal democracies have gotten too far ahead and can move no further until the parts of the world stuck in the 14th century are moved ahead.
Many liberals scoff at President Bush's expressed belief that all people long to, and are capable of, living in freedom.  They think his willingness to fight the violence of the barbarians with violence is a contradiction to his call for raising all people to the dignity of freedom.  "Progressives" hate him for his "backwards" ways.  They couldn't be more wrong.  One of the reasons that America moved ahead of Europe in democracy is that it was largely freed from the bonds of the past that hindered movement to the universally desired goal of freedom.  Only when the 14th century is fully expunged from the Middle East, from sub-Saharan Africa and from China can any people move ahead.  Those who have progressed most will find a way to set these people free.  Their idealistic motivation will be the good of the newly liberated, but there is an alignment with self-interest as well.  Their own desire to move ahead will be thwarted until those in bondage to barbarians are freed to move with them.
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Ideological Putridity

Debra Saunders draws the conclusion from the rougher treatment Joe Lieberman has received from the left wing of the Democratic party compared to the treatment John McCain has received from the right wing of the Republican party that the liberals are less tolerant of “ideological impurity” than conservatives are.  The intolerance of the toleration worshiping left is indeed seen in this, but in many other places as well.  This is compounded by a factor she did not mention.

Not all ideologies are created equal.  Even if conservatives were more demanding of ideological purity it would make sense because they are right a much greater percentage of the time than the liberals are.  Straying from the conservative party line is much more likely to result in error than straying from the liberal party line, which is precisely why the left can’t tolerate it.  When you believe in something that isn’t true you have to defend it very zealously because even the tiniest crack could expose it for the fraud it is and bring the whole thing tumbling down.  This is why the tolerance worshippers can’t afford to be tolerant of people like Joe Lieberman, but the “intolerant” right can get along quite well with John McCain, or Rudy Giuliani, or George W. Bush.




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How long will this war last?

An Arab diplomat indicates that it is part of the Koran to make war on "sinners" and make slaves of all they can take as prisoners.  The European custom, followed by a number of U.S. Presidents,  is to pay them off to avoid trouble.  One U.S. President says that we shouldn't fight them at all unless we are wiling to fight them forever.
Recent events?  President George W. Bush?  No, the President who stood up to the Bashaw of Tripoli was Thomas Jefferson.  The resulting war is the reason the phrase "to the shores of Tripoli" is in the Marine hymn.  The attacks that drew this action were on U.S. citizens, mostly merchant seamen, in the Mediterranean.  The historic events are reported in chapter 6 of Bill Bennett's America: The last Best Hope.
It is strange that these threads ran strong at the time of the Jefferson presidency and in our time, but stranger still is another thread in the same chapter also runs in both times.  This theme is whether or not people are capable of self-govenrnment.  In Jefferson's time, according to Bennett, the intelligentsia were quite convinced that the rough and tumble American colonists couldn't possibly make democracy work.  Today we hear many make fun of President Bush's belie that the people of the Middle East want democracy and can make it work.
Riskily, I will end with two bromides: The more things change, the more they stay the same. -and- Those who don't know history are doomed to repeat it.
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Back from vacation - almost.

I did discover one interesting thing on vacation.  There are still places where it isn't easy to get Internet service.  We were in Virginia Beach this week and didn't have Internet access where we were staying.  In some ways it was nice.  I finished a book I started on Christmas day.  It is called The Death of a Thousand Cuts and is about anti-corporate campaigns as used by unions and liberal issues groups such as the Sierra Club.  It is actually very interesting, but reading time has been limited.  I also got about half way through Bill Bennett's history of the U.S.
What I didn't get done was keeping up on events and posting here.  It was a nice trade-off.  Hopefully I will catch up soon.  
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A Valid Criticism of Israel

Christopher Hitchens, during an interview by Hugh Hewitt, made the most valid criticism of Israel that I have ever heard.  He indicated that Israel has never made a clear statement as to what their national borders should be.  This in no way excuses the barbarity of those who oppose Israel, but it is a valid criticism.  Uncertainty of intent does tend to breed distrust, and distrust is an extremely useful tool for the barbarian.  Israel could do a lot for the long term stability of the Middle East by taking a stand.  Whatever borders were stated would most certainly be met with outrage and attacked (in the intellectual/political sense) from every side, but it is an essential step in achieving any kind of stability.
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So who is the smelly kid?

A most entertaining article compares nation states to high school kids.  The United States and Old Europe are the cool kids, with Eastern Europe as the up and coming kids from the wrong side of the tracks.  North Korea, Iran and other rogue states are the social misfit kids who act out to get attention and sometimes end up going postal.

The article is quite entertaining and yet the analogy does work at many points.  What is left out is the identification of the smelly kid.  Every class in every school has a smelly kid.  If you think yours didn't, then you were probably the smelly kid.  Even the social misfits felt superior to the smelly kid, yet the smelly kid isn't usually the one who goes postal.  What country or countries would you nominate to be the smelly kid?

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Immigration and the Rules of Kindergarten

One of the most important rules you can learn in life is to clean up your own messes.  This is a major topic in Kindergarten, where you also learn that the rule also applies to group messes.  If you are part of the group, you help clean up the mess even if you didn't contribute greatly to the making of the mess.

We have government "of, by and for the people".  The "by" part means that when the government makes a mess the people have made a mess.  A mess has certainly been made of immigration. 

Also like in Kindergarten, it doesn't take long for people to figure out that a rule that isn't enforced isn't really a rule at all.  Lax enforcement has led to huge numbers of illegal immigrants who came into a country that just winked and went about its business.  By doing so the government, and by extension we the people, sent the message that it was really OK to come in without the proper papers.

So now we have a mess, but what do we do about it?  An obvious first step is to start enforcing the rules go forward. 
Yet it seems unfair to now punish people who came in when we were sending signal that we weren't serious about our immigration laws as we should have if we had been serious about immigration laws all along.  So what is fair?

You get more of what you reward, so be clear what you want and reward it.  I would give first preference to people who want to become law abiding U.S. citizens.  That means staying here and staying out of trouble.  Those who come forward and register the intention to become a citizen would begin a waiting period.  Leave the country for more than a month, just stay out.  Convicted of a serious crime or a series of lesser crimes and back to Mexico you go.  Fail to become a citizen within a set period of time and you get to go where you ARE a citizen.

Those who don't want to become citizens would have two options.  Register now and go back to Mexico to get in the front of the line for a long term guest worker slot. Choosing to register and stay here gives you a short term stay.  Don't register and get caught - gone forever.  Commit a crime while here - gone forever.

We the people, through our government, have made a mess.  It is our responsibility to find a reasonable way to clean it up.  The next thing is to address the gross unfairness to those who want to come to this country but don't happen to live within walking distance.
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Some Key Questions Concerning Representative Government in the Information Age

Let me confess up front that I intend to raise some questions, but offer no recommendations.  While the nature of the questions raised raises some troubling issues, I will not offer any solutions.  The value I intend to offer is to make an attempt at clarifying the questions and issues, and in that there is value.

Making good decisions requires that the person making the decision have two things, the relevant information and the wisdom to know what to do based on the relevant information.  This applies equally to decisions made for yourself as an individual and decisions made for you as part of a group.  The reason some governmental systems work better than others is that they are better at getting people who have the two requirements for making a good decision into decision making positions.

The ability of a system of government to get the right people into decision making positions is not necessarily inherent to the system.  Some systems, such as direct democracy or true communism, work well only with small groups with small issues.  This is because everyone has input into every decision, so the groups and issues have to small enough for everyone to have the relevant information.  Once a certain size or complexity of issue is reached it is no longer possible to assure that the relevant information is possessed and understood by everyone in the group.  This is what led to the development of the representative democracy, particularly a noteworthy experiment started in 1776.

The strength of the representative democracy is that only the elected representatives have to possess the relevant information and the wisdom to act on it.  All the voter needs is the information and wisdom to select good representatives.  This enables representative democracy to work on a much larger scale both in the number of governed and the complexity of issues addressed.  Yet there have been changes since 1776 that may affect how well representative democracy works. 

Marshall McLuhan, a media theorist, posited that, “The medium is the message.”  The essence of his premise is that the medium carrying information in some ways shapes the information.  A simple and logical observation, but one with many consequences.  Some of these consequences affect representative democracy.  Examples of this is how the electorate gains information about the candidate and the candidate about the electorate.  In 1776 this information flowed mainly though the conduits of people and print.  Now a large percentage of the information voters have about candidates comes through “sound b ites” and web communities.  Elected officials now receive information about the voters through polls and “netroots” campaigns.  There has been an exponential increase in the amount of information available, but the character of the information has changed.  A significant trend is that the information is in many ways less personal.  Voters get a professionally managed image rather than candidate.  Candidates and elected officials get elected or reelected by appealing to statistical aggregations of voters rather than actual people they know.  This has changed the character of the governmental process.
 

“Character” is a felicitous term here.  It also points out that the voter did not choose just a set of ideas or principles, but a person of a certain character who would act on the voter’s behalf.  This is the strength of representative democracy.  The voter learns enough about the candidates to choose wisely and the elected candidates learn and act wisely on the voter’s behalf after that.

This leads to the key question: Have the changes in the character of the information exchanged between the voter and the candidate changed in a way that reduces or eliminates the voter’s ability to assess the character of the candidates?  Is there no alternative to the voter being left with a choice between professionally created images rather than between candidates of known character?

The recent resurgence of partisanship and the “divide” that has worried so many of late may be a reaction to the depersonalization of the electoral process.  Partisanship is, in some ways, a method of personalizing politics and politicians.  When the information available to me does not allow me to draw a conclusion about the character of the individual candidate, I may re-personalize the process by making a decision about the character of a party and imputing that character to the candidates of that party.

If the effectiveness of representative democracy depends on voters being able to know which candidate truly represents them best, what effects have the technologies of the Information Age had on this process?  Is increased partisanship a healthy response to technological changes that affect the electoral process, or is it an unhealthy compensation that will weaken representative democracy?  These are questions to which I would welcome your answers.

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Tom DeLay should change is name and move to New Jersey.

A Texas judge has ruled that Tom Delay’s name must remain on the ballot since he won the primary, even though he has dropped out of the race and changed his residency to his home in Washington.  Republicans say that Texas election law allows them to put another name in his place, but Democrats say there is insufficient proof that he will not be a resident of Texas on election day. 

 

This sounds eerily similar to the last election cycle, but then it was a New Jersey Democrats who wanted a fellow named Torricelli off the ballot.  There were plenty of very clear reasons to not allow this, not the least of which is that applicable New Jersey law states that the "vacancy shall occur not later than the 51st day before the general election.", and this was only 35 days before the election.  The judge allowed the switch and we now have Senator Frank Lautenberg as a result.  There was one difference we should note.  Torricelli wasn’t just accused of wrong doing.

 

So maybe Tom DeLay should change his name to Tom Torricelli and his legal residence to New Jersey.  It has to be the name and state of residence since no judge would allow which party would benefit from the switch to make a difference.


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How many Environmentalists does it take to screw in a light bulb?

The nature of what we do at my place of employment guarantees that the staff will all be from the right side of the IQ bell curve. Surprisingly, there are still quite a few who are from the left side of the political divide. The place this oxymoron manifests itself most clearly is attitudes and actions on “The Environment”, thus the question, “How many environmentalists does it take to screw in a light bulb?” The Liberals are quite adamant that the best possible use of instructional time with children in school is teaching them to save the planet by using energy saving light bulbs. They don’t need to learn the science behind an energy saving light bulb, only that they can’t be a good person unless they use them. Well, as I found out, it is more important that they encourage others to use them. I discovered this by asking the Liberals how many energy saving light bulbs were in use in their homes. The answer was “none”. This struck me as strange since I, definitely not a Liberal or Environmentalist, have quite a few. What could explain this?

It makes more sense if you know that I am not just a Conservative, but also Conservationist. For those of you not familiar with the term, a “Conservationist” is what Environmentalists were before they decided they had to do away with the “conserve” and emphasize the “mental”. Back in the 70’s (Wow, it hurts to say that!) I was a founding member of my high school’s Conservation Club. We were young, idealistic and driven by the news from leading climatologists that we had to change how we treated the planet or we would be wiped out by a coming ice age. We were also very effective, which is why climatologists are now telling us about global warming. There is the alternative explanation that climatologists are full of cow excrement, but I’ll leave it to you to decide. There is one other major difference between a Conservationist and an Environmentalist. Conservationists are committed to doing everything they reasonably can to reduce their negative impact on the planet. Environmentalists want legislatures and judges to tell everyone else what they should do, and what they aren’t allowed to do. This becomes apparent in the lunchroom at work. The Environmentalists eat from landfill chocking disposable plates. I eat from reusable dishes, which I then wash with a reusable brush and dry with an environmentally responsible dish towel. Environmentalists talk about saving the planet while Conservationists adopt behaviors that make a difference. This explains why the Conservative who would rather that children be taught real science actually screws in the energy saving light bulbs the Liberals would mandate be promoted in schools. OK, I also did the math and figured out that they save money over time, but in the end I screwed in the light bulb.

So, how many Environmentalists does it take to screw in a light bulb? A majority so they can legislate that everyone else has to do it.
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What does it take to get arrested around here?

"What does it take to get arrested around here?" is a quote of a woman protesting in front of Donald Rumsfeld's house.  Apparently it is a goal of some Liberals to see just what they have to do to get arrested, which must have been very interesting in the "What do you want to do when you grow up?" sessions in elementary school.  This explains a lot about what the New York Times and other MSM national security leakers are trying to do.  All they really want, like the liberal lady, is to find out what it takes to get arrested.  Unfortunately, they are on the wrong track.  Leaking national security secrets won't get you arrested, it will only get you Pulitzers.  To get arrested you have to leak something really important, like the formula for Coke.  Yes, three people were arrested in Atlanta because they tried to steal soft drink secrets.  I wonder when Eric Lichtblau and Dana Priest will ask to be transferred to the soft drink beat?
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